Atlético Progreso vs Tabacal Orán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
45%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PRO
2 - 2
CAM
42%
23%
35%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
APE
2 - 1
PRO
42%
23%
34%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CEN
2 - 0
PRO
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
PRO
1 - 2
MIT
54%
22%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
TAB
2 - 0
PRO
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Tabacal Orán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MIT
4 - 0
TAB
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
TAB
0 - 0
CEN
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
TAB
0 - 0
CAM
67%
19%
15%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
APE
0 - 2
TAB
28%
23%
49%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
TAB
2 - 0
PRO
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +2 |