Atlético Progreso vs Deportivo Aguilares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
35.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
BVT
3 - 1
PRO
46%
23%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
PRO
1 - 1
AMA
44%
23%
33%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
LAS
4 - 2
PRO
42%
24%
35%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
PRO
2 - 1
ABL
27%
23%
50%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
CON
4 - 1
PRO
80%
14%
6%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Aguilares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
AGU
2 - 1
AMA
43%
23%
34%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
ABL
0 - 3
AGU
73%
16%
12%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
AGU
0 - 0
CEN
15%
20%
65%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
SPO
2 - 0
AGU
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
AGU
3 - 0
BVT
36%
24%
40%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +2 |