Atlético Progreso vs Deportivo Aguilares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
25.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
LAS
1 - 0
PRO
54%
23%
23%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
PRO
2 - 3
AMA
38%
24%
39%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
FAM
0 - 1
PRO
64%
20%
17%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PRO
2 - 1
ABL
37%
24%
39%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BVT
1 - 1
PRO
49%
23%
28%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Aguilares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
AMA
2 - 1
AGU
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
AGU
0 - 1
ABL
39%
24%
37%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
POL
2 - 1
AGU
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
AGU
1 - 2
VIL
35%
24%
41%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LAS
1 - 0
AGU
47%
23%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |