Atlético Progreso vs Atlético Policial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
35.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
TFR
0 - 0
PRO
52%
22%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
PRO
3 - 1
VIL
34%
24%
42%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
AGU
2 - 0
PRO
50%
23%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
PRO
1 - 0
LAS
53%
23%
24%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 2
PRO
84%
12%
5%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Policial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 0
POL
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
LAS
4 - 2
POL
27%
23%
50%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
POL
2 - 0
FAM
38%
24%
39%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
BVT
2 - 1
POL
21%
22%
57%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
POL
0 - 2
TFR
66%
18%
15%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |