Atlético Progreso vs Atlético Pellegrini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
36.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
PRO
0 - 1
CEN
33%
25%
42%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MIT
2 - 2
PRO
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
PRO
1 - 1
TAB
31%
24%
45%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PRO
2 - 2
CAM
42%
23%
35%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
APE
2 - 1
PRO
42%
23%
34%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Pellegrini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
APE
2 - 0
MIT
49%
23%
29%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TAB
1 - 3
APE
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
APE
1 - 1
CAM
43%
23%
34%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CEN
1 - 1
APE
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
APE
2 - 1
PRO
42%
23%
34%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +2 |