Atlético Porvenir vs Defensor La Bocana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
2.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.4%
1-0
0.8%
2-1
0.8%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
1.8%
6.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6.2%
91.4%
Win probability
3.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
12.6%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.7%
0-4
11.5%
1-5
4.3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
16.5%
0-5
8.4%
1-6
2.6%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
11.4%
0-6
5.1%
1-7
1.4%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
6.6%
0-7
2.7%
1-8
0.6%
2-9
0.1%
-7
3.4%
0-8
1.2%
1-9
0.3%
2-10
0%
-8
1.5%
0-9
0.5%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.6%
0-10
0.2%
-10
0.2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor La Bocana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
LOS
3 - 1
BOC
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
BOC
6 - 1
SPO
55%
23%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
HUA
5 - 0
BOC
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BOC
3 - 1
ALF
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
MAN
5 - 2
BOC
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |