Atlético Policial vs Defensores de Esquiú analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.1%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
6.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Policial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
POL
18%
21%
61%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
POL
1 - 0
VIL
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ARG
2 - 0
POL
39%
27%
34%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
POL
2 - 1
ARG
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
POL
2 - 3
AMA
56%
21%
24%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Defensores de Esquiú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
CDE
0 - 0
SAR
22%
22%
56%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
AND
2 - 1
CDE
76%
14%
9%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |