Atlético Policial vs Comercio Central Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
25.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Policial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
INS
1 - 0
POL
22%
23%
55%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
POL
3 - 1
CAG
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +3 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
VSR
1 - 0
POL
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
POL
2 - 2
CDE
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
POL
1 - 1
CCU
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Comercio Central Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
CCU
1 - 0
CEA
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
CCU
0 - 3
INS
69%
18%
13%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -2 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
CAG
1 - 0
CCU
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
CCU
1 - 0
VSR
31%
24%
46%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
CCU
2 - 1
CAG
26%
28%
46%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +2 |