Atlético Policial vs Comercio Central Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
25.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Policial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
INS
0 - 0
POL
23%
23%
54%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 0
POL
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
POL
1 - 1
AND
60%
20%
20%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
CAG
2 - 1
POL
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
POL
2 - 3
VSR
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Comercio Central Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CCU
2 - 0
SAR
42%
25%
34%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
AND
1 - 0
CCU
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CCU
0 - 0
CAG
26%
24%
50%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
VSR
1 - 1
CCU
59%
21%
20%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CCU
0 - 2
CDE
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |