Atlético Policial vs Atlético Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
8.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Policial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2015 |
POL
3 - 2
VIL
60%
20%
19%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
RAC
3 - 1
POL
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
POL
2 - 3
RAC
38%
24%
38%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
TFR
1 - 2
POL
19%
21%
60%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2014 |
POL
5 - 1
BVT
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2015 |
PRO
1 - 1
TFR
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
APE
3 - 3
PRO
36%
24%
40%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
PRO
0 - 0
CEN
14%
20%
67%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CAM
2 - 0
PRO
52%
23%
26%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
PRO
1 - 3
MIT
27%
24%
49%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |