A. Peñafiel vs Villa de Simancas B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
5.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+129%
+122%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A. Peñafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 2
ATL
42%
23%
35%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
4 - 0
ISC
37%
22%
41%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
PIO
1 - 1
ATL
10%
16%
74%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 0
VIA
76%
15%
10%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
RUE
3 - 2
ATL
62%
19%
18%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Villa de Simancas B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 4
BOS
36%
22%
41%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CEC
4 - 0
VIL
46%
22%
32%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
LAG
19%
18%
63%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 2
PAR
28%
22%
50%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ISC
5 - 3
VIL
82%
11%
7%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |