A. Peñafiel vs Villa de Simancas B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
59.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+166%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A. Peñafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
REN
1 - 0
ATL
48%
22%
30%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
ARR
0 - 1
ATL
40%
23%
37%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 1
TUD
46%
23%
31%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 2
ATL
51%
22%
27%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 1
CIG
62%
20%
19%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Villa de Simancas B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
VIL
8 - 0
ARR
76%
15%
10%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
TUD
1 - 2
VIL
32%
23%
45%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
VIL
3 - 0
JUV
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CIG
2 - 4
VIL
16%
20%
64%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 2
VIL
25%
22%
53%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +3 |