A. Peñafiel vs Torrelobaton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
25.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A. Peñafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
ZAR
4 - 3
ATL
35%
23%
42%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 3
VIL
20%
21%
60%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
REN
1 - 0
ATL
48%
22%
30%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
ARR
0 - 1
ATL
40%
23%
37%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 1
TUD
46%
23%
31%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Torrelobaton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
TOR
0 - 6
ARR
37%
22%
40%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
TUD
8 - 1
TOR
72%
16%
12%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
TOR
4 - 4
JUV
30%
23%
48%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CIG
7 - 1
TOR
49%
22%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
4 - 0
TOR
54%
22%
25%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |