Atlético Pellegrini vs Atlético Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
34.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Pellegrini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MIT
2 - 2
APE
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
APE
0 - 2
TAB
28%
23%
49%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CAM
3 - 3
APE
46%
23%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MON
2 - 1
APE
29%
24%
47%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
APE
5 - 0
HER
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CEN
2 - 0
PRO
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
PRO
1 - 2
MIT
54%
22%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
TAB
2 - 0
PRO
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
5 - 1
PRO
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
PRO
2 - 0
AGU
53%
22%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |