Copa do Brasil . 1/16
First-leg 1-2
Athletico Paranaense vs Ypiranga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
6.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
ATP
1 - 2
DAN
73%
18%
10%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 2
ATP
49%
25%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
DRZ
1 - 5
ATP
6%
19%
75%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ATP
1 - 0
VAS
61%
22%
17%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
YPI
2 - 1
ATP
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Ypiranga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
YPI
2 - 1
ATP
20%
25%
55%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LON
0 - 4
YPI
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
YPI
3 - 1
CSA
51%
27%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
YPI
2 - 0
POR
81%
12%
7%
|
65 | 37 | 28 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
YPI
0 - 0
BRA
66%
19%
15%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |