Copa do Brasil . 1/16
Global 9-2
Athletico Paranaense vs Tocantinópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.2%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
16%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
18.9%
2-0
19.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.4%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
22%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.8%
2.9%
Win probability
0.29
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
ATP
1 - 0
CEA
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
STR
5 - 0
ATP
37%
27%
37%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
AMF
1 - 0
ATP
37%
28%
36%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
LIB
1 - 0
ATP
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ATP
1 - 0
FLA
17%
22%
61%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
JCA
0 - 0
TOC
23%
21%
56%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
TOC
1 - 1
PAC
44%
26%
30%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
FPI
4 - 0
TOC
67%
20%
13%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
TOC
2 - 5
ATP
7%
20%
73%
|
39 | 83 | 44 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
TOC
3 - 1
TUN
14%
21%
65%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | +2 |