Athletico Paranaense vs Operário PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
5.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
LON
3 - 0
ATP
16%
22%
62%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ACP
1 - 3
ATP
13%
20%
67%
|
78 | 47 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
ATP
0 - 0
COT
37%
28%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 1
ATP
12%
19%
68%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ATP
4 - 0
JMA
80%
15%
6%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Operário PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
OPE
2 - 1
ACP
54%
23%
22%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
JMA
2 - 2
OPE
44%
25%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
OPE
2 - 2
IRA
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
COT
4 - 1
OPE
89%
9%
3%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
OPE
0 - 2
LON
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |