Athletico Paranaense vs J. Malucelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
5.7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
IRA
0 - 3
ATP
13%
20%
67%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
ATP
4 - 0
TCW
83%
13%
4%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CIA
2 - 2
ATP
17%
23%
60%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
ATP
4 - 0
ROM
79%
15%
6%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 2
ATP
12%
20%
67%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
JMA
1 - 2
ROM
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
ARA
4 - 1
JMA
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
JMA
3 - 1
ACP
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
IRA
0 - 0
JMA
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
JMA
1 - 0
LON
35%
25%
40%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |