Athletico Paranaense vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
36.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
ATP
1 - 0
PAL
31%
28%
42%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CEA
0 - 0
ATP
42%
27%
31%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ATP
1 - 1
AMF
56%
25%
19%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
ATP
0 - 1
FLA
24%
24%
52%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FLA
5 - 0
ATP
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
FLU
1 - 1
PAL
41%
26%
33%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
FLU
2 - 2
COR
63%
22%
15%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FLU
5 - 2
COT
68%
20%
13%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
FLU
2 - 2
FOR
62%
22%
16%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
SCI
3 - 0
FLU
41%
26%
33%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |