Athletico Paranaense vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
43.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 0
ATP
47%
25%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
FLA
2 - 1
ATP
61%
21%
18%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
ATP
2 - 2
PAL
39%
27%
34%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
ATP
3 - 0
ALI
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
ATP
1 - 0
COR
52%
26%
22%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 1
FLA
45%
24%
31%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
FLA
2 - 1
ATP
61%
21%
18%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
FLA
2 - 0
FOR
60%
22%
18%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
FLA
4 - 0
AUC
81%
13%
6%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 3
FLA
20%
24%
56%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |