Athletico Paranaense vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
29.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2022 |
STR
5 - 0
ATP
37%
27%
37%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
AMF
1 - 0
ATP
37%
28%
36%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
LIB
1 - 0
ATP
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ATP
1 - 0
FLA
17%
22%
61%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
TOC
2 - 5
ATP
7%
20%
73%
|
84 | 41 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2022 |
CEA
3 - 0
DEP
71%
19%
11%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
CEA
0 - 1
BRA
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
JLM
0 - 2
CEA
30%
26%
44%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
TOM
0 - 2
CEA
20%
26%
54%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
CEA
1 - 3
BOT
63%
23%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |