Copa do Brasil . Final
Global 1-6
Athletico Paranaense vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
48.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
ATM
4 - 0
ATP
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 1
ATP
22%
28%
50%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2021 |
ATP
0 - 0
PAL
28%
27%
44%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
ATP
1 - 0
CUI
63%
23%
14%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
COR
1 - 0
ATP
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
ATM
4 - 0
ATP
73%
17%
10%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
GRE
4 - 3
ATM
34%
26%
40%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
ATM
4 - 3
BRA
68%
19%
13%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2021 |
BAH
2 - 3
ATM
21%
25%
54%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ATM
2 - 1
FLU
68%
19%
13%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |