Atlético Palmira vs Independiente Villa Obrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Palmira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ATE
1 - 3
ATL
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
DES
20%
24%
56%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
UNI
3 - 0
ATL
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2013 |
DES
1 - 1
ATL
76%
16%
8%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ATL
3 - 0
ATL
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Independiente Villa Obrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
DES
3 - 0
IND
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
IND
3 - 3
SPO
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
IND
4 - 1
ATL
29%
24%
47%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +4 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
LEO
1 - 2
IND
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ATE
2 - 1
IND
63%
20%
18%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |