Atlético Palmira vs Sportivo Desamparados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Palmira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
LCY
2 - 0
ATL
39%
25%
37%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
TRI
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 0
ATL
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SPE
2 - 1
ATL
32%
24%
44%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
DES
1 - 0
ATL
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
DES
1 - 0
SPE
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
DES
1 - 1
JUV
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LCY
0 - 0
DES
47%
23%
29%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
DES
1 - 0
TRI
68%
19%
14%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
DES
1 - 0
ATL
38%
25%
37%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +3 |