Atlético Ouriense vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
46.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Ouriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
UDL
2 - 0
ATL
73%
18%
9%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
PED
2 - 1
ATL
51%
23%
27%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FAT
3 - 1
ATL
59%
22%
18%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 0
TOR
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
SOI
1 - 3
ATL
23%
22%
56%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 0
FAT
47%
27%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 1
SAN
57%
25%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 0
CAL
51%
25%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 1
SER
26%
26%
49%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
FAZ
2 - 3
CAL
17%
21%
62%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | +1 |