At. Nacional vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 1
PAS
66%
20%
13%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
JUN
0 - 1
NAC
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 1
JUN
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 2
JUN
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2016 |
SFE
0 - 0
NAC
41%
28%
31%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CCP
1 - 0
RÑU
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
LQE
0 - 0
CCP
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
OLI
4 - 2
CCP
53%
24%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
CCP
1 - 1
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CCP
1 - 3
GUA
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |