Atl. Mineiro vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ATM
3 - 0
URT
85%
11%
4%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
LIB
1 - 0
ATM
34%
26%
41%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
URT
1 - 1
ATM
10%
19%
71%
|
85 | 52 | 33 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
ATM
5 - 2
SBW
72%
18%
11%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 1
ATM
8%
19%
73%
|
85 | 52 | 33 | -1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
LIB
1 - 0
ATM
34%
26%
41%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
LIB
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
LIB
1 - 2
GOD
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
IND
0 - 2
LIB
29%
28%
43%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
LIB
3 - 2
LQE
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |