Atl. Mineiro vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
5.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ATM
1 - 0
RBR
88%
9%
3%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 2
ATM
16%
21%
63%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
RBR
0 - 2
ATM
11%
19%
71%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
ATM
6 - 0
USC
80%
14%
6%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
USC
0 - 1
ATM
16%
22%
62%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 2
ATM
16%
21%
63%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 1
OES
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 1
GUA
91%
8%
2%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
PPE
2 - 2
GUA
70%
17%
13%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
5 - 0
ITU
51%
23%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |