Atl. Mineiro vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 1
ATM
31%
25%
43%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
ATM
0 - 3
GRE
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
ATP
1 - 1
ATM
29%
27%
45%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
ATM
2 - 1
SAO
56%
23%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ATM
1 - 0
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 0
BOT
58%
24%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 0
FLU
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
FLU
2 - 2
SAN
64%
22%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
AMF
0 - 1
FLU
35%
26%
38%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
FLU
3 - 0
FER
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | +1 |