Atl. Mineiro vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2015 |
SCI
3 - 1
ATM
43%
26%
32%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 2
ATM
31%
28%
41%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
ATM
2 - 2
SCI
58%
24%
19%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 2
ATM
14%
25%
61%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ATM
0 - 0
CAL
83%
13%
4%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
FLU
1 - 0
JEC
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 1
FLU
39%
27%
35%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
FLU
2 - 1
BOT
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
MAD
1 - 2
FLU
14%
23%
63%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
FLA
3 - 0
FLU
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |