Atl. Mineiro vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 2
ATM
17%
25%
58%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
ATM
0 - 1
SAN
50%
24%
27%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2017 |
BOT
1 - 1
ATM
36%
26%
39%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
JWI
1 - 0
ATM
26%
25%
49%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
ATM
3 - 1
CRZ
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2017 |
BAH
1 - 1
AVA
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
PPE
0 - 3
BAH
60%
24%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
BAH
1 - 1
FLU
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
VIT
0 - 0
BAH
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
BAH
0 - 1
FLA
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |