Atl. Mineiro vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 1
ATM
33%
27%
41%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
ATM
1 - 0
SAO
63%
22%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
LON
0 - 0
ATM
25%
26%
49%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2017 |
ATP
0 - 2
ATM
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2017 |
ATM
1 - 3
VIT
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 1
FLA
29%
27%
44%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 1
CHA
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
VAS
1 - 1
CHA
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 0
PPE
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2017 |
FLA
4 - 0
CHA
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |