Atl. Mineiro vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 2
ATM
34%
27%
39%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
ATM
3 - 0
SAN
75%
17%
9%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
PAL
0 - 1
ATM
47%
25%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
ATM
2 - 1
COT
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 0
ATM
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
PAL
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 2
CHA
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
ATP
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 1
BOT
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
ATP
0 - 0
CHA
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |