Atl. Mineiro vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 1
ATM
39%
27%
34%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ATM
2 - 2
GOI
70%
19%
11%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
SAO
4 - 2
ATM
40%
27%
34%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
FFL
0 - 1
ATM
26%
26%
48%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ATM
0 - 3
COR
47%
26%
27%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 3
GOI
49%
27%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FFL
0 - 0
CHA
43%
28%
30%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
SCI
36%
28%
36%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
FLU
2 - 3
CHA
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 0
ATP
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |