Atl. Mineiro vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.8%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
14%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
4%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
AME
1 - 2
ATM
10%
16%
74%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ATM
2 - 0
BOA
77%
15%
8%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CRZ
6 - 1
ATM
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ATM
4 - 0
BOT
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
COR
2 - 1
ATM
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
AMF
2 - 0
CAL
78%
15%
8%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 0
TUP
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 0
GUA
51%
24%
26%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 2
ATM
10%
18%
72%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 0
CAL
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |