Atl. Mineiro vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
5.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ATM
2 - 1
ATP
62%
22%
17%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 1
ATM
6%
19%
75%
|
90 | 57 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
ATM
23%
26%
51%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
ATP
2 - 1
ATM
30%
27%
43%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ATM
1 - 2
VAS
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
COM
1 - 3
ALI
30%
28%
42%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
LIB
1 - 2
ALI
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ALI
3 - 0
CAN
76%
17%
7%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 1
ALI
34%
28%
38%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 0
ATP
21%
25%
55%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |