At. Marbellí vs Baeza CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
29.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Marbellí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CHU
4 - 1
ATM
64%
20%
17%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ATM
0 - 1
ACO
26%
24%
50%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
BEN
4 - 0
ATM
59%
21%
20%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ATM
1 - 4
FUE
37%
24%
39%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
DHE
3 - 1
ATM
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
BAE
0 - 1
DHE
18%
23%
59%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CFA
1 - 1
BAE
69%
17%
14%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
BAE
2 - 1
NSR
50%
26%
24%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
BAE
0 - 0
UBE
23%
26%
51%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
JUV
2 - 0
BAE
85%
11%
5%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | -1 |