Atlético Marbella vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.5%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
29.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Marbella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1997 |
AMA
0 - 3
MAL
25%
29%
46%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1997 |
CAD
0 - 1
AMA
53%
26%
21%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1996 |
AMA
2 - 2
CCF
37%
29%
34%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1996 |
GAL
3 - 1
AMA
38%
29%
33%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
AMA
3 - 3
SEV
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1997 |
GRA
0 - 1
RJA
45%
29%
26%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1997 |
RJA
0 - 0
MEL
61%
25%
15%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1996 |
MAL
2 - 1
RJA
67%
22%
11%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
RJA
1 - 0
CAD
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
CCF
1 - 0
RJA
59%
24%
18%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |