Mancha Real vs Vandalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
23.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
G74
2 - 1
MAN
73%
18%
9%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
MAN
0 - 1
NIJ
33%
26%
41%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
GUA
1 - 0
MAN
45%
29%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
MAN
1 - 1
ANT
56%
26%
18%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
ALH
3 - 1
MAN
55%
26%
19%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Vandalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
VAN
0 - 2
BAZ
37%
28%
36%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
ALM
1 - 1
VAN
64%
21%
16%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
VAN
2 - 0
UDS
29%
26%
45%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
MOT
2 - 2
VAN
78%
15%
7%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
VAN
1 - 0
MAR
36%
28%
36%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |