Mancha Real vs Unión Estepona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
VEL
0 - 1
MAN
52%
25%
23%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MAN
3 - 0
VIL
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
UDS
1 - 0
MAN
26%
28%
46%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
MAN
4 - 0
MOL
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
UDM
0 - 1
MAN
21%
26%
53%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Estepona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
EST
2 - 2
VIL
27%
25%
49%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 1
EST
78%
15%
8%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
EST
0 - 1
LOJ
18%
23%
60%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 0
EST
48%
24%
29%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
EST
3 - 3
MAR
29%
25%
45%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |