Mancha Real vs UD Melilla B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
HUE
0 - 1
MAN
19%
26%
55%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
MAN
2 - 1
MAR
50%
26%
25%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
MAL
1 - 1
MAN
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 0
ALQ
60%
22%
19%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
LOJ
3 - 2
MAN
68%
21%
12%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
UD Melilla B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
UDM
1 - 3
VEL
18%
22%
60%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
VIL
4 - 1
UDM
51%
22%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
UDM
2 - 0
UDS
34%
24%
42%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
MOL
3 - 2
UDM
43%
23%
34%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
UDM
2 - 0
EST
47%
24%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |