Mancha Real vs Torredonjimeno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
38.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
MAN
1 - 0
CDV
70%
19%
11%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
ARE
1 - 0
MAN
61%
24%
16%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
MAN
0 - 0
GRA
23%
27%
50%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
MAN
0 - 0
SAN
33%
29%
39%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
BAZ
0 - 1
MAN
49%
27%
24%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Torredonjimeno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
TOR
4 - 3
BAZ
64%
21%
16%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
ALM
2 - 1
TOR
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
TOR
3 - 2
UDS
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
MOT
3 - 2
TOR
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
TOR
4 - 1
MAR
68%
20%
13%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |