Mancha Real vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
59%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
LOJ
1 - 1
MAN
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
MAN
0 - 0
MAR
64%
20%
16%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ANT
2 - 0
MAN
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 0
TOR
25%
23%
52%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CDE
1 - 0
MAN
81%
13%
6%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
RJA
2 - 0
MAL
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
HUE
2 - 2
RJA
19%
22%
59%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
RJA
4 - 0
VEL
76%
15%
9%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CDT
0 - 0
RJA
18%
22%
60%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
RJA
2 - 0
PAL
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |