Mancha Real vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ANT
0 - 0
MAN
56%
23%
22%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 1
PAL
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
MEL
0 - 1
MAN
12%
18%
70%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MAN
3 - 0
MAR
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ATA
0 - 0
MAN
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
RJA
3 - 2
VIL
80%
14%
6%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
RJA
2 - 0
MOT
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 2
RJA
27%
26%
47%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
RJA
1 - 0
HUE
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CDR
0 - 1
RJA
29%
26%
45%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |