Mancha Real vs Motril CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ALH
1 - 1
MAN
39%
27%
34%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
MAN
3 - 0
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
RON
1 - 1
MAN
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MAN
3 - 2
LOJ
31%
28%
41%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 2
MAN
28%
27%
45%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Motril CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MOT
0 - 1
VEL
70%
19%
12%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
UDS
2 - 1
MOT
46%
25%
30%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
4 - 0
MOT
55%
24%
21%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
NIJ
2 - 2
MOT
52%
26%
22%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MOT
0 - 0
EST
19%
24%
57%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | +1 |