Mancha Real vs Motril CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
40.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2009 |
VEL
0 - 1
MAN
57%
23%
20%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 0
ALM
29%
27%
44%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
PVE
2 - 2
MAN
38%
28%
35%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 2
HUE
69%
19%
11%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
LOJ
1 - 2
MAN
31%
28%
41%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Motril CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2009 |
MOT
1 - 1
BAZ
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ALH
0 - 1
MOT
31%
26%
43%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
MOT
4 - 1
CAR
81%
13%
7%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
ARE
0 - 1
MOT
16%
24%
60%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
MOT
5 - 0
CDV
83%
12%
5%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | -1 |