Mancha Real vs Motril CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
56%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
17.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 0
MAN
60%
24%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
MAN
0 - 3
ALH
16%
24%
60%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
CAR
3 - 1
MAN
66%
21%
13%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
MAN
1 - 1
ALM
44%
27%
29%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
TOR
5 - 0
MAN
66%
21%
14%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Motril CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
MOT
0 - 1
GRA
53%
24%
22%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
FUE
2 - 1
MOT
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
MOT
0 - 1
BAZ
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
UBE
0 - 0
MOT
24%
26%
50%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
MOT
0 - 2
SAN
75%
17%
9%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |