Mancha Real vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
56.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
CDB
4 - 0
MAN
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
LOR
3 - 0
MAN
73%
18%
10%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 1
MAD
29%
27%
44%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 2
CDB
50%
25%
26%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ROD
2 - 3
MAN
43%
28%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 1
CRD
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
LIN
1 - 2
MEL
41%
27%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MEL
0 - 0
REC
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
BAL
2 - 1
MEL
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MEL
0 - 0
JUM
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |