Mancha Real vs Mármol Macael analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
38.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
LOJ
1 - 0
MAN
52%
25%
24%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
MAN
2 - 2
BAZ
38%
25%
36%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
MAR
3 - 0
MAN
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
MAN
2 - 1
NIJ
53%
24%
24%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
ALM
1 - 0
MAN
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
MMA
2 - 1
ANT
51%
26%
23%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
GRA
1 - 0
MMA
63%
22%
15%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
MMA
2 - 0
VEL
69%
20%
11%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
AND
0 - 0
MMA
19%
23%
59%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
MMA
1 - 2
CAR
62%
23%
15%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |