Mancha Real vs Mármol Macael analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
45.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
ILI
0 - 0
MAN
27%
27%
47%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
CDL
2 - 1
MAN
78%
15%
7%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
MAN
0 - 0
VAN
51%
25%
24%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
UDS
4 - 0
MAN
39%
27%
34%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -3 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
MAN
2 - 0
VEL
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
MMA
1 - 0
VAN
64%
22%
14%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
UDS
0 - 0
MMA
22%
27%
51%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
MMA
3 - 1
VEL
63%
22%
15%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
ALH
2 - 1
MMA
34%
28%
38%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
MAL
4 - 1
MMA
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |